
“In complexity, the goal is not to predict and control the future – it’s to become increasingly fit for it.”
That statement has never been truer than it is today.
We’ve spent the last few decades building organizations for efficiency, predictability, and scale. But those assumptions no longer hold up in the face of volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity.
VUCA gave us the vocabulary to describe this emerging terrain, but naming the landscape is only the first step. To thrive, we need to move from reaction to reframing. That’s where CIRCA comes in.
VUCA: A Useful Wake-Up Call
VUCA has served us well. It helped leaders let go of the illusion that the world is controllable and linear. It got us talking about adaptability, resilience, and ambiguity. But over time, it became more of a warning label than a compass. Helpful for awareness, but insufficient for action.
Today’s organizations need more than awareness. They need a way to partner with complexity, to move from describing the storm to learning how to sail through it. CIRCA is that next step.
CIRCA: A Framework for Fit, Not Fear
CIRCA stands for Complex, Insecure, Rapid, Contradictory, and Anxious. It reflects not only the world we operate in but also how people experience it.
Unlike VUCA, which often leaves organizations in a defensive crouch, CIRCA is a call to engage, adapt, and evolve. It’s a reframing tool, a thinking model, and a strategic guide to becoming fit for the future—not by mastering control, but by building capability.
Let’s unpack what that really means.
1. Reframing Complexity as an Advantage
Where VUCA framed complexity as a threat, CIRCA helps us see it as a signal. A signpost pointing toward the need for new patterns of thinking and acting.
- Sensemaking in the grey zone: CIRCA emphasizes making sense together when the path ahead isn’t clear. In a world full of noise, shared understanding becomes a competitive advantage.
- Adaptive planning: Not rigid roadmaps, but living strategies. CIRCA supports iterative, feedback-informed planning, something too many organizations still struggle to institutionalize.
- Mindset over method: This isn’t about agile theater. It’s about nurturing cultures where curiosity beats certainty and where learning is embedded in the everyday.
2. Partnering With Complexity (Instead of Wrestling It)
CIRCA isn’t about taming the chaos. It’s about dancing with it.
- Dynamic abstraction: In complex environments, you need to zoom in and zoom out with purpose. CIRCA helps organizations know when to operate at system level, when to focus on details, and how to avoid getting stuck in either.
- Contradiction as insight: Too often, paradoxes are treated as problems to solve. CIRCA helps leaders sit with tensions, harvest learning from them, and respond with both/and thinking.
- Fluid response: In practice, this means enabling people closest to the work to act. CIRCA reinforces fast feedback, decentralised decision-making, and learning loops—not bureaucratic drag.
3. Building Fitness for the Future
In complexity, “robust” is not enough. What we need is fitness. The ability to read change, respond intelligently, and evolve continuously.
- Learning from the edge: CIRCA embraces failure as signal. Not in a performative way, but as a real mechanism for accelerating insight.
- Resilience with purpose: Beyond individual wellbeing, CIRCA looks at systemic load, supporting psychological health, alignment, and emotional stamina in the face of change.
- Evolution, not transformation: Many change efforts fail because they’re treated as finite. CIRCA frames change as an ongoing capability, not a one-off initiative.
4. A Human and Systemic Lens
Most frameworks talk about market turbulence or tech disruption. CIRCA goes deeper. Acknowledging the human and systemic patterns shaping how we respond.
- Psychological safety isn’t optional: If people don’t feel safe, they don’t speak up. CIRCA recognizes this isn’t “fluffy stuff”. It’s foundational to adaptation, innovation, and speed.
- Cultural adaptability: Change isn’t sustained by decks and plans. It’s sustained when learning becomes cultural muscle memory. CIRCA helps organizations design for that.
From Surviving to Shaping
VUCA woke us up to the challenge. CIRCA equips us to do something with it.
This isn’t about replacing one acronym with another. It’s about recognizing the shift in posture—from reacting to reframing, from control to curiosity, from prediction to preparedness.
CIRCA offers a compass for organizations ready to stop surviving change and start shaping their future.
The future belongs to those who can read the waves before they break. Are you ready to stop fearing complexity—and start partnering with it? If so, surfs on.
Let’s talk about what CIRCA could unlock for your organization.
I am currently developing my book, Ingenious Agility, which delves into twelve core themes of organizational agility. Each theme is explored through incisive questions that probe the cultural, operational, and strategic dimensions of agility. Central to this exploration is the evolving CIRCA Model, which offers a framework for understanding and advancing organizational adaptability.
The book is designed to equip leaders with the insights needed to architect organizations that not only withstand chaos but also foster ingenuity and sustained innovation. To bridge theory and practice, I ground these insights in real-world case studies—such as Microsoft’s DevOps transformation, which highlights the power of cultural change and cross-team collaboration, and Haier’s pioneering microenterprise model, which demonstrates how structural innovation can unleash entrepreneurial energy at scale. Through these examples, Ingenious Agility provides actionable guidance for leaders seeking to create organizations that thrive amid uncertainty and drive meaningful, lasting change.
CIRCA Model © 2024-2025 by Neil A Walker is licensed under CC BY-ND 4.0

Leave a Reply